face2face Upper Intermediate Student’s Book with Cd-Rom/Audio Cd

The study, covering a 50-years perspective (2002-2052) and 27 European countries, is based on an extended discussion of theories and factors underlying the assumed modification of demographic components of change (migration, mortality and fertility) and a detailed analysis of historical trends on a country by country basis. In parallel, an analogous analysis is conducted with respect to changes in the labour force participation rates. These theoretical and empirical considerations lead to setting scenarios of future mortality, fertility, labour force participation and international migration. The latter was done in three variants (Base High and Low) separately for intra-European migration (a full matrix of flows) and net migration for exchanges between each of modeled countries and „the rest of the World“. As a methodological novelty, an explicit incorporation of the impact of migration policies on migration flows was considered. Detailed presentation of the arguments and techniques used to formulate forecasting model assumptions serves full transparency of the modelling and is very useful for didactic purposes.